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Red43
176410.8
514719.6
256020.6
Blue70
511937.9
526818.7
495920.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60632040801004370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2560
#36
20.62.8
18.215.4
Auto6.9
Teleop10.2
End3.4
blue by 17.4
5119
#16
37.91.4
21.422.9
Auto7.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
Second
5147
#15
19.62.8
16.613.8
Auto2.3
Teleop11.1
End6.2
blue by 1.2
4959
#18
20.80.9
17.117.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End6.7
Third
1764
#31
10.82.8
23.420.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End5.4
blue by 7.9
5268
#24
18.71.4
18.620.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsMissed