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Red138
926916.5
198758.1
495920.8
Blue32
526818.7
501331.2
518917.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87662040608010012014013832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.12.8
46.249.0
Auto16.2
Teleop32.1
End9.9
red by 27.0
31.23.6
26.623.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.5
Second
4959
#18
20.81.7
16.918.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End6.7
red by 2.1
5268
#24
18.73.6
20.016.3
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End3.9
Third
9269
#10
16.52.8
16.018.8
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End4.7
blue by 0.5
5189
#29
17.13.6
18.214.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsMissed