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Qual 352023 Heartland Regional
Red85
318453.0
184716.5
245717.5
Blue53
811214.5
514719.6
512626.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73540204060801001208553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#2
53.02.1
39.1→41.3
Auto11.7
Teleop33.5
End7.7
red by 26.6
5126
#11
26.40.0
22.9→23.0
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End4.8
Second
2457
#25
17.52.1
13.5→15.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End6.8
blue by 2.1
5147
#15
19.60.0
17.7→17.7
Auto2.3
Teleop11.1
End6.2
Third
1847
#27
16.52.1
13.1→15.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End8.8
red by 2.0
8112
#35
14.50.0
12.1→12.1
Auto1.3
Teleop10.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned19%Activation oddsMissed