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Red125
514719.6
222031.0
198758.1
Blue136
318453.0
526818.7
173039.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10395406080120140160125136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.12.7
49.051.7
Auto16.2
Teleop32.1
End9.9
red by 5.2
53.04.5
41.345.8
Auto11.7
Teleop33.5
End7.7
Second
31.02.7
28.831.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.3
End6.9
blue by 8.3
39.44.5
32.837.3
Auto12.4
Teleop20.0
End7.0
Third
5147
#15
19.62.7
17.720.5
Auto2.3
Teleop11.1
End6.2
red by 0.9
5268
#24
18.74.5
16.320.8
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned