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Qual 432023 Heartland Regional
Red90
518917.1
926916.5
171039.8
Blue69
480921.7
256020.6
811214.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68663040506080901001109069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#3
39.81.7
31.6→33.3
Auto9.6
Teleop22.2
End7.9
red by 18.1
4809
#22
21.71.2
25.3→24.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End8.1
Second
5189
#29
17.11.7
13.3→15.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End4.1
blue by 3.5
2560
#36
20.61.1
22.0→20.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.2
End3.4
Third
9269
#10
16.51.7
18.6→20.3
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End4.7
red by 2.0
8112
#35
14.51.2
15.1→13.9
Auto1.3
Teleop10.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned23%Activation oddsMissed