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Qual 712023 Heartland Regional
Red88
501331.2
180623.6
173039.4
Blue93
511937.9
182725.0
176410.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9869204060801201401608893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#4
39.40.8
37.8→37.0
Auto12.4
Teleop20.0
End7.0
red by 1.4
5119
#16
37.91.1
35.3→36.4
Auto7.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
Second
5013
#5
31.20.8
30.3→29.5
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.5
red by 6.2
1827
#9
25.01.2
23.3→24.5
Auto10.2
Teleop8.7
End6.1
Third
1806
#28
23.60.9
20.2→19.3
Auto6.6
Teleop12.8
End4.3
red by 12.9
1764
#31
10.81.2
9.6→10.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsMissed