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Red87
176923.4
177517.3
512626.4
Blue53
926916.5
219726.2
480921.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64722040801008753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#11
26.41.5
25.326.8
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End4.8
red by 0.2
2197
#23
26.20.9
25.324.4
Auto8.6
Teleop9.8
End7.8
Second
1769
#20
23.41.5
20.321.8
Auto7.4
Teleop11.0
End5.0
red by 1.7
4809
#22
21.71.2
23.422.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End8.1
Third
1775
#19
17.31.5
15.617.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End4.9
red by 0.8
9269
#10
16.51.0
18.017.0
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsMissed