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Red104
501331.2
176923.4
511937.9
Blue115
372934.0
219726.2
235730.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9992406080120140160104115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5119
#16
37.90.3
37.737.9
Auto7.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
red by 3.9
34.00.5
32.933.4
Auto10.6
Teleop15.8
End7.6
Second
31.20.3
30.931.2
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.5
red by 1.0
2357
#17
30.20.5
29.129.6
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End7.5
Third
1769
#20
23.40.3
23.123.4
Auto7.4
Teleop11.0
End5.0
blue by 2.8
2197
#23
26.20.5
25.125.6
Auto8.6
Teleop9.8
End7.8