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Red137
171039.8
173039.4
180623.6
Blue114
372934.0
219726.2
235730.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10793406080100120140160180137114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.7
38.539.3
Auto9.6
Teleop22.2
End7.9
red by 5.8
34.00.6
33.434.0
Auto10.6
Teleop15.8
End7.6
Second
39.40.7
38.138.9
Auto12.4
Teleop20.0
End7.0
red by 9.1
2357
#17
30.20.6
29.630.2
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End7.5
Third
1806
#28
23.60.8
22.323.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.8
End4.3
blue by 2.6
2197
#23
26.20.6
25.626.2
Auto8.6
Teleop9.8
End7.8