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Red103
235730.2
219726.2
372934.0
Blue74
512626.4
241024.1
480921.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937620406010012014016010374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.3
32.232.5
Auto10.6
Teleop15.8
End7.6
red by 7.6
5126
#11
26.40.0
26.826.8
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End4.8
Second
2357
#17
30.20.3
28.428.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End7.5
red by 6.1
24.10.0
24.524.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End7.5
Third
2197
#23
26.20.3
24.424.7
Auto8.6
Teleop9.8
End7.8
red by 4.5
4809
#22
21.70.0
22.122.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End8.1