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Red118
171039.8
173039.4
180623.6
Blue51
882532.1
182725.0
514719.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105765015011851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.5
37.337.9
Auto9.6
Teleop22.2
End7.9
red by 7.6
8825
#13
32.10.5
31.631.1
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End7.8
Second
39.40.5
36.937.4
Auto12.4
Teleop20.0
End7.0
red by 14.4
25.00.5
24.523.9
Auto10.2
Teleop8.7
End6.1
Third
1806
#28
23.60.6
20.921.5
Auto6.6
Teleop12.8
End4.3
red by 4.0
5147
#15
19.60.6
19.118.5
Auto2.3
Teleop11.1
End6.2