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Red131
501331.2
176923.4
511937.9
Blue77
222031.0
583725.1
93517.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions967620406012014016018013177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5119
#16
37.90.4
36.436.8
Auto7.4
Teleop21.5
End9.0
red by 6.9
31.00.0
30.930.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.3
End6.9
Second
31.20.5
29.529.9
Auto5.3
Teleop17.4
End8.5
red by 6.0
5837
#14
25.10.0
25.025.0
Auto5.5
Teleop13.7
End5.9
Third
1769
#20
23.40.4
21.822.2
Auto7.4
Teleop11.0
End5.0
red by 5.6
935
#34
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto1.2
Teleop10.0
End6.5