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Red61
509821.9
495920.8
926916.5
Blue62
512626.4
241024.1
480921.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618120401001201406162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#12
21.90.2
22.121.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End6.9
blue by 4.5
5126
#11
26.40.4
26.826.5
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End4.8
Second
4959
#18
20.80.2
21.020.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End6.7
blue by 3.3
24.10.4
24.524.1
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End7.5
Third
9269
#10
16.50.2
16.716.5
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End4.7
blue by 5.1
4809
#22
21.70.4
22.221.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End8.1