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Red91
811825.2
162244.8
915318.4
Blue121
709425.9
597117.3
452264.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510205015091121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.8
37.638.4
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End8.2
blue by 20.1
64.91.9
61.263.1
Auto16.9
Teleop36.6
End10.4
Second
8118
#21
25.21.4
23.024.4
Auto5.9
Teleop14.1
End4.9
blue by 0.8
7094
#23
25.91.9
17.519.4
Auto8.4
Teleop11.2
End6.4
Third
9153
#35
18.41.4
12.914.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.1
red by 1.1
5971
#26
17.33.2
13.616.8
Auto7.1
Teleop5.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsMissed