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Red118
606831.8
924018.7
303954.0
Blue103
361637.8
804429.2
181822.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9164204080100120140118103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.02.4
47.850.2
Auto16.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
red by 16.2
3616
#15
37.82.3
28.831.1
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End9.4
Second
6068
#20
31.84.0
22.226.2
Auto9.7
Teleop16.5
End5.6
red by 2.6
8044
#14
29.22.3
16.819.1
Auto7.8
Teleop15.2
End6.2
Third
9240
#22
18.74.0
12.116.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End4.0
blue by 3.6
1818
#32
22.23.8
17.821.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned12%Activation oddsEarned