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Red56
181822.2
578510.5
880831.4
Blue134
599725.2
804429.2
299247.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61975015056134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8808
#19
31.40.7
28.527.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End7.6
blue by 16.1
47.53.2
43.346.4
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End8.5
Second
1818
#32
22.21.2
20.119.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End7.6
blue by 7.0
8044
#14
29.23.2
25.628.7
Auto7.8
Teleop15.2
End6.2
Third
5785
#39
10.51.2
12.811.6
Auto0.3
Teleop5.0
End5.3
blue by 14.6
5997
#29
25.23.2
17.820.9
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned