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Red102
346823.9
1650.3
811825.2
Blue93
408732.3
36434.8
393749.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831315010015020010293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#2
50.30.9
46.647.5
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End8.5
red by 1.1
3937
#17
49.21.9
49.347.4
Auto12.0
Teleop30.7
End6.5
Second
8118
#21
25.21.4
21.522.9
Auto5.9
Teleop14.1
End4.9
blue by 9.6
364
#13
34.81.9
37.835.9
Auto8.4
Teleop19.2
End7.1
Third
3468
#33
23.90.9
16.016.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End7.1
blue by 8.4
32.31.9
29.727.7
Auto11.0
Teleop11.2
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsEarned