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Red91
208030.9
596513.1
463553.7
Blue65
361637.8
766113.1
873223.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107650501509165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.6
56.255.6
Auto12.4
Teleop32.4
End8.2
red by 15.9
3616
#15
37.80.1
31.731.6
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End9.4
Second
2080
#18
30.90.6
29.128.4
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End8.8
red by 7.2
8732
#12
23.70.1
16.216.1
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End6.8
Third
5965
#31
13.11.0
10.19.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End3.9
Level
7661
#38
13.10.1
18.318.2
Auto1.9
Teleop8.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsEarned