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Red108
709425.9
159234.4
218337.4
Blue57
410722.8
930917.4
162244.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8192406010012014010857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#10
37.42.0
32.234.3
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End6.7
blue by 7.4
44.81.9
43.041.1
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End8.2
Second
1592
#11
34.42.0
26.728.8
Auto7.8
Teleop19.1
End7.5
red by 11.6
4107
#37
22.81.9
24.722.8
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End5.0
Third
7094
#23
25.92.0
18.620.6
Auto8.4
Teleop11.2
End6.4
red by 8.5
9309
#34
17.43.1
17.614.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsMissed