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Red123
452264.9
408732.3
804429.2
Blue83
393749.2
924018.7
375316.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1377105010015020012383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.2
64.063.9
Auto16.9
Teleop36.6
End10.4
red by 15.7
3937
#17
49.20.5
47.447.9
Auto12.0
Teleop30.7
End6.5
Second
32.30.2
27.727.6
Auto11.0
Teleop11.2
End10.2
red by 13.7
9240
#22
18.70.9
11.812.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End4.0
Third
8044
#14
29.20.2
28.728.6
Auto7.8
Teleop15.2
End6.2
red by 12.8
3753
#36
16.40.5
15.616.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsMissed