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Red56
915318.4
222114.2
360615.7
Blue118
181822.2
347852.5
36434.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4011605010015020056118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9153
#35
18.41.0
15.016.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.1
blue by 34.1
52.51.3
43.945.2
Auto14.4
Teleop28.5
End9.6
Second
3606
#25
15.71.0
16.917.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End8.0
blue by 19.1
364
#13
34.81.3
35.937.2
Auto8.4
Teleop19.2
End7.1
Third
2221
#30
14.20.6
15.015.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End4.5
blue by 8.1
1818
#32
22.22.1
19.021.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
18%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned