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Red88
346823.9
218337.4
728811.9
Blue66
45633.7
597117.3
766113.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686840506080901008866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#10
37.41.2
34.335.5
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End6.7
red by 3.6
456
#7
33.70.1
26.126.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End9.9
Second
3468
#33
23.91.2
16.918.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End7.1
red by 6.6
5971
#26
17.30.2
18.718.4
Auto7.1
Teleop5.6
End4.6
Third
7288
#27
11.92.0
13.715.8
Auto5.9
Teleop4.0
End2.0
blue by 1.2
7661
#38
13.10.2
18.218.0
Auto1.9
Teleop8.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned