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Red116
361637.8
299247.5
924018.7
Blue93
930917.4
375316.4
463553.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9791608012014011693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.51.7
46.047.7
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End8.5
blue by 6.2
53.70.1
55.655.7
Auto12.4
Teleop32.4
End8.2
Second
3616
#15
37.81.7
31.633.3
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End9.4
red by 20.4
9309
#34
17.40.2
14.514.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Third
9240
#22
18.72.7
12.715.4
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End4.0
red by 2.2
3753
#36
16.40.1
16.216.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed