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Red99
393749.2
915318.4
181822.2
Blue105
159234.4
811825.2
191230.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928105015020099105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#17
49.20.9
47.948.9
Auto12.0
Teleop30.7
End6.5
red by 14.8
1592
#11
34.41.2
28.829.9
Auto7.8
Teleop19.1
End7.5
Second
1818
#32
22.21.4
21.122.6
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End7.6
blue by 8.2
1912
#28
30.51.2
26.827.9
Auto9.1
Teleop12.2
End9.2
Third
9153
#35
18.41.4
16.017.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.1
blue by 6.8
8118
#21
25.21.8
22.123.9
Auto5.9
Teleop14.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsEarned