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Red81
1650.3
410722.8
578510.5
Blue94
347852.5
606831.8
586324.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861064060801201401608194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#2
50.30.5
47.046.6
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End8.5
blue by 2.2
52.50.2
45.245.0
Auto14.4
Teleop28.5
End9.6
Second
4107
#37
22.80.5
22.822.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End5.0
blue by 9.0
6068
#20
31.80.3
29.228.9
Auto9.7
Teleop16.5
End5.6
Third
5785
#39
10.50.7
13.312.6
Auto0.3
Teleop5.0
End5.3
blue by 14.3
5863
#16
24.80.3
22.221.9
Auto7.8
Teleop10.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned