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Red139
162244.8
222114.2
452264.9
Blue111
36434.8
346823.9
873223.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13866050100150200139111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.2
63.964.1
Auto16.9
Teleop36.6
End10.4
red by 30.1
364
#13
34.82.6
37.239.8
Auto8.4
Teleop19.2
End7.1
Second
44.80.2
41.141.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End8.2
red by 20.9
3468
#33
23.92.6
18.120.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End7.1
Third
2221
#30
14.20.2
15.615.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End4.5
blue by 9.6
8732
#12
23.72.6
16.118.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned