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Red106
361637.8
930917.4
191230.5
Blue117
208030.9
408732.3
181822.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868460708090100110120106117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#15
37.81.1
35.236.3
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End9.4
red by 5.5
32.31.5
29.831.2
Auto11.0
Teleop11.2
End10.2
Second
1912
#28
30.51.1
28.729.8
Auto9.1
Teleop12.2
End9.2
blue by 0.5
2080
#18
30.91.5
29.731.2
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End8.8
Third
9309
#34
17.41.4
15.216.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End4.8
blue by 4.8
1818
#32
22.21.6
20.622.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned