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Red108
873223.7
159234.4
924018.7
Blue68
346823.9
915318.4
606831.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758005010015020025030035040010868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#11
34.41.5
32.533.9
Auto7.8
Teleop19.1
End7.5
red by 2.6
6068
#20
31.80.5
32.331.8
Auto9.7
Teleop16.5
End5.6
Second
8732
#12
23.71.5
21.623.1
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End6.8
blue by 0.2
3468
#33
23.90.4
23.222.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End7.1
Third
9240
#22
18.71.6
17.018.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End4.0
red by 0.3
9153
#35
18.40.5
18.918.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed