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Red169
410722.8
1650.3
303954.0
Blue99
873223.7
361637.8
191230.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137915010015020016999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.00.4
53.153.5
Auto16.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
red by 16.2
3616
#15
37.80.2
37.637.8
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End9.4
Second
16
#2
50.30.4
49.549.9
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End8.5
red by 19.9
1912
#28
30.50.2
30.330.5
Auto9.1
Teleop12.2
End9.2
Third
4107
#37
22.80.4
22.022.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End5.0
blue by 0.9
8732
#12
23.70.2
23.623.7
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End6.8