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Red150
599725.2
162244.8
393749.2
Blue157
347852.5
880831.4
299247.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231436080100160180200220150157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#17
49.20.6
48.749.3
Auto12.0
Teleop30.7
End6.5
blue by 3.3
52.50.6
52.553.1
Auto14.4
Teleop28.5
End9.6
Second
44.80.6
44.244.8
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End8.2
blue by 2.7
47.50.6
47.548.0
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End8.5
Third
5997
#29
25.20.6
24.625.2
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End6.4
blue by 6.3
8808
#19
31.40.6
31.432.0
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End7.6