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Red155
410722.8
1650.3
303954.0
Blue156
452264.9
463553.7
208030.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12716350100150200155156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.00.5
53.554.0
Auto16.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
blue by 10.9
64.90.2
65.866.0
Auto16.9
Teleop36.6
End10.4
Second
16
#2
50.30.5
49.950.3
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End8.5
blue by 3.4
53.70.2
54.654.8
Auto12.4
Teleop32.4
End8.2
Third
4107
#37
22.80.5
22.322.8
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End5.0
blue by 8.1
2080
#18
30.90.2
31.832.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End8.8