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Red110
191230.5
361637.8
873223.7
Blue102
45633.7
408732.3
346823.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96966080120140160110102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#15
37.80.4
37.237.6
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End9.4
red by 4.1
456
#7
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End9.9
Second
1912
#28
30.50.4
29.930.3
Auto9.1
Teleop12.2
End9.2
blue by 1.9
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto11.0
Teleop11.2
End10.2
Third
8732
#12
23.70.4
23.123.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End6.8
blue by 0.2
3468
#33
23.90.0
23.823.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End7.1