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Red107
36434.8
159234.4
811825.2
Blue119
218337.4
804429.2
142130.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001016080120140107119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#13
34.80.2
34.634.8
Auto8.4
Teleop19.2
End7.1
blue by 2.6
2183
#10
37.40.2
36.536.7
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End6.7
Second
1592
#11
34.40.2
34.234.4
Auto7.8
Teleop19.1
End7.5
red by 3.8
1421
#24
30.60.2
29.729.9
Auto11.0
Teleop10.8
End8.9
Third
8118
#21
25.20.2
25.025.2
Auto5.9
Teleop14.1
End4.9
blue by 4.0
8044
#14
29.20.2
28.428.6
Auto7.8
Teleop15.2
End6.2