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Red139
208030.9
452264.9
463553.7
Blue167
393749.2
162244.8
599725.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16711650100150200139167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.2
66.366.1
Auto16.9
Teleop36.6
End10.4
red by 15.7
3937
#17
49.20.8
47.848.7
Auto12.0
Teleop30.7
End6.5
Second
53.70.2
55.254.9
Auto12.4
Teleop32.4
End8.2
red by 8.9
44.80.8
43.444.2
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End8.2
Third
2080
#18
30.90.2
32.432.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End8.8
red by 5.8
5997
#29
25.20.8
23.824.6
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End6.4