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Red125
410722.8
1650.3
303954.0
Blue144
347852.5
880831.4
299247.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12914180100120160180200220125144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.00.1
53.153.1
Auto16.0
Teleop29.4
End8.0
red by 1.5
52.50.3
52.252.5
Auto14.4
Teleop28.5
End9.6
Second
16
#2
50.30.1
49.449.5
Auto13.1
Teleop28.3
End8.5
red by 2.8
47.50.3
47.247.5
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End8.5
Third
4107
#37
22.80.1
21.922.0
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End5.0
blue by 8.6
8808
#19
31.40.3
31.131.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End7.6