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Red73
15117.9
23835.6
693338.5
Blue118
573533.4
431127.1
23052.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8711620406010014016018073118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6933
#14
38.50.8
32.231.4
Auto11.6
Teleop20.4
End6.3
blue by 14.2
230
#5
52.70.9
49.350.1
Auto15.9
Teleop28.9
End7.9
Second
238
#21
35.60.8
34.433.7
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End7.8
red by 2.2
5735
#18
33.40.9
27.928.8
Auto7.6
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Third
151
#31
17.90.8
18.317.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End4.5
blue by 9.2
4311
#30
27.10.9
27.728.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsEarned