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Red132
404138.6
801346.8
208422.5
Blue57
870829.0
416919.0
856726.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087420406010012014016013257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.82.3
43.545.8
Auto12.2
Teleop26.8
End7.6
red by 17.7
8708
#33
29.01.1
27.226.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.9
End6.9
Second
38.62.3
35.137.4
Auto11.3
Teleop19.7
End7.6
red by 11.7
8567
#20
26.91.8
27.826.0
Auto2.6
Teleop18.4
End5.8
Third
2084
#25
22.52.3
18.721.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End7.7
red by 3.5
4169
#26
19.01.1
19.218.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed