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Red99
24636.2
620121.4
870925.9
Blue90
549423.4
346131.2
782221.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81672040601001201401609990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#11
36.21.0
31.032.0
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End5.5
red by 5.1
3461
#17
31.21.7
28.029.7
Auto11.2
Teleop12.0
End8.0
Second
8709
#22
25.91.0
23.424.4
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End6.8
red by 2.5
5494
#34
23.41.7
20.522.2
Auto9.7
Teleop9.2
End4.5
Third
6201
#29
21.41.0
20.020.9
Auto7.8
Teleop7.1
End6.6
blue by 0.2
7822
#23
21.51.7
16.017.7
Auto7.2
Teleop6.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned