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Red124
862619.8
490945.9
175742.2
Blue97
23835.6
500036.5
417625.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039705015020012497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#10
45.90.6
42.943.5
Auto15.2
Teleop23.3
End7.3
red by 9.4
5000
#19
36.50.4
33.834.1
Auto8.7
Teleop20.8
End7.0
Second
1757
#12
42.20.9
34.535.4
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.6
red by 6.6
238
#21
35.60.4
33.734.0
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End7.8
Third
8626
#37
19.80.6
18.218.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End7.2
blue by 6.1
4176
#24
25.80.4
24.224.5
Auto9.9
Teleop9.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned