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Red75
870925.9
856726.9
9723.2
Blue130
175742.2
693338.5
12548.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721395010015020075130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8567
#20
26.90.1
27.026.9
Auto2.6
Teleop18.4
End5.8
blue by 21.3
125
#16
48.20.5
46.446.9
Auto16.2
Teleop23.7
End8.1
Second
8709
#22
25.90.1
26.025.9
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End6.8
blue by 16.3
1757
#12
42.20.6
40.641.3
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.6
Third
97
#35
23.20.1
23.323.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.2
End6.3
blue by 15.3
6933
#14
38.50.5
37.137.7
Auto11.6
Teleop20.4
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsEarned23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned