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Red136
568748.6
15117.9
23052.7
Blue94
206744.3
556327.9
23731.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123111608010014016018013694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
52.71.5
50.051.5
Auto15.9
Teleop28.9
End7.9
red by 8.3
2067
#15
44.30.8
45.044.2
Auto12.1
Teleop23.4
End8.9
Second
48.61.5
47.348.8
Auto14.1
Teleop28.8
End5.5
red by 16.8
237
#27
31.80.8
32.832.0
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End6.6
Third
151
#31
17.91.5
16.417.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End4.5
blue by 9.9
5563
#32
27.90.8
28.127.3
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned