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Red134
862619.8
346759.7
12548.2
Blue101
24636.2
23835.6
287742.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13611850100150200134101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.70.2
58.959.1
Auto17.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
red by 17.0
42.70.3
42.342.0
Auto12.0
Teleop23.2
End7.6
Second
125
#16
48.20.2
47.447.6
Auto16.2
Teleop23.7
End8.1
red by 11.9
246
#11
36.20.3
35.835.5
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End5.5
Third
8626
#37
19.80.2
19.019.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End7.2
blue by 15.8
238
#21
35.60.3
35.134.9
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End7.8