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Red155
23731.8
801346.8
568748.6
Blue149
23052.7
870829.0
271341.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13512950100150200155149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.60.4
48.849.2
Auto14.1
Teleop28.8
End5.5
blue by 4.0
230
#5
52.70.6
52.152.7
Auto15.9
Teleop28.9
End7.9
Second
46.80.4
47.047.4
Auto12.2
Teleop26.8
End7.6
red by 5.0
41.80.6
41.241.8
Auto9.9
Teleop24.2
End7.7
Third
237
#27
31.80.4
32.032.4
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End6.6
red by 2.8
8708
#33
29.00.6
28.429.0
Auto8.3
Teleop13.9
End6.9