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Red139
287742.7
23835.6
24636.2
Blue100
568748.6
801346.8
23731.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171386080100160180200139100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.5
42.042.5
Auto12.0
Teleop23.2
End7.6
blue by 5.9
48.60.6
49.248.6
Auto14.1
Teleop28.8
End5.5
Second
246
#11
36.20.5
35.536.0
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End5.5
blue by 10.6
46.80.6
47.446.8
Auto12.2
Teleop26.8
End7.6
Third
238
#21
35.60.5
34.935.4
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End7.8
red by 3.7
237
#27
31.80.6
32.431.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End6.6