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Red111
271341.8
870829.0
23052.7
Blue137
24636.2
23835.6
287742.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13011750100150200111137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
52.70.2
51.551.3
Auto15.9
Teleop28.9
End7.9
red by 9.9
42.70.5
41.642.1
Auto12.0
Teleop23.2
End7.6
Second
41.80.2
40.640.4
Auto9.9
Teleop24.2
End7.7
red by 5.6
246
#11
36.20.5
35.135.6
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End5.5
Third
8708
#33
29.00.2
27.927.7
Auto8.3
Teleop13.9
End6.9
blue by 6.5
238
#21
35.60.5
34.534.9
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End7.8