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Red147
23731.8
801346.8
568748.6
Blue142
693338.5
545931.0
175742.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711350100150200147142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.60.5
48.849.3
Auto14.1
Teleop28.8
End5.5
red by 6.5
1757
#12
42.20.3
41.341.6
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.6
Second
46.80.5
46.947.4
Auto12.2
Teleop26.8
End7.6
red by 8.3
6933
#14
38.50.3
37.738.0
Auto11.6
Teleop20.4
End6.3
Third
237
#27
31.80.5
32.032.4
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End6.6
red by 0.9
31.00.3
30.230.5
Auto12.6
Teleop11.5
End6.9