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Red140
271341.8
870829.0
23052.7
Blue133
693338.5
545931.0
175742.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12911550100150200140133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
52.70.5
51.351.8
Auto15.9
Teleop28.9
End7.9
red by 10.5
1757
#12
42.20.6
41.642.2
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.6
Second
41.80.5
40.440.9
Auto9.9
Teleop24.2
End7.7
red by 3.3
6933
#14
38.50.5
38.038.5
Auto11.6
Teleop20.4
End6.3
Third
8708
#33
29.00.5
27.728.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.9
End6.9
blue by 1.9
31.00.5
30.531.0
Auto12.6
Teleop11.5
End6.9