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Red156
862619.8
346759.7
12548.2
Blue150
490945.9
404138.6
573533.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13412350100150200156150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.70.4
58.558.9
Auto17.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
red by 13.8
4909
#10
45.90.3
45.445.7
Auto15.2
Teleop23.3
End7.3
Second
125
#16
48.20.4
47.047.4
Auto16.2
Teleop23.7
End8.1
red by 9.6
38.60.3
38.138.4
Auto11.3
Teleop19.7
End7.6
Third
8626
#37
19.80.4
18.619.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End7.2
blue by 13.6
5735
#18
33.40.3
32.933.2
Auto7.6
Teleop17.5
End8.3