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Red131
6120B12.9
29745.5
413044.7
Blue81
3538B33.6
86236.1
24018.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8599020030040050060013181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
297
#12
45.54.4
23.527.9
Auto11.1
Teleop26.7
End8.0
red by 9.5
862
#16
36.10.7
39.739.1
Auto10.7
Teleop15.4
End10.0
Second
44.72.6
42.445.1
Auto13.0
Teleop21.8
End9.2
red by 11.1
33.60.7
30.329.6
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End7.7
Third
12.94.4
15.519.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End2.4
blue by 5.2
240
#18
18.20.7
21.020.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned