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Red109
3359.2
439515.7
30253.0
Blue132
657036.0
7211B33.1
353853.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13097050150200109132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#6
59.20.6
55.254.6
Auto18.0
Teleop32.0
End7.6
red by 5.6
53.62.5
48.350.8
Auto11.0
Teleop32.9
End9.1
Second
302
#8
53.00.6
49.649.0
Auto12.7
Teleop30.6
End9.1
red by 17.0
36.02.5
29.131.5
Auto10.6
Teleop15.7
End10.0
Third
4395
#25
15.70.6
13.412.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End4.7
blue by 17.5
33.12.5
17.219.7
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned